Article

How to read customs import price data (and why it is not a quote)

An implied import price is customs value divided by quantity: an average across every shipment in a customs code in a year. It is not a quote, and it mixes grades, forms and terms. Before relying on one, check what the HS code covers, whether the quantity is estimated, whether the value is CIF or FOB, how large the volume is, and whether it agrees with a benchmark and with the exporter's data.

Published 8 November 2026 by Metallic Exchange. Figures last reviewed 30 October 2026. Sources are listed at the end.

Implied price
Customs value divided by net weight
Source
UN Comtrade, reported by each country's customs authority
Typical convention
Imports CIF, exports FOB

What the number is

UN Comtrade publishes the value and net weight of each country's imports by customs code and by supplier. Dividing value by weight gives an implied price per tonne. It is a unit value: the average across every shipment in that code, in that year, at that customs authority's valuation.

Five checks before you use it

1. What does the code cover? HS 2602 covers all manganese ores of 20% Mn and above; HS 2604 covers nickel ores and concentrates; HS 2603 covers copper concentrates of different grades. A higher price per tonne may mean a better product, not a higher market.

2. Is the quantity estimated? Comtrade marks quantities it has estimated, and these are less reliable. In our reports, importer figures built on estimated quantities are flagged.

3. CIF or FOB? Under the UN convention imports are valued CIF and exports FOB, so import and export figures for the same trade differ by freight and insurance. Some customs authorities value imports differently, and this is not always stated.

4. Is the volume trivial? Prices on a few tonnes are noise. We exclude lines below a volume threshold and say so.

5. Does it agree with a benchmark? Compare against an independent price, such as the World Bank or USGS annual average, and ask whether any gap is explained by product mix.

When the data disagrees with itself

Some figures do not reconcile. In our iron ore research, US imports are 4.9 to 6.4 million tonnes in Comtrade from 2017 against 3.0 to 4.0 million tonnes in USGS data, and China's 2023 nickel ore volume was 21.5 million tonnes in Comtrade against about 43.9 million tonnes in a customs-based industry source. We do not correct such figures; we flag them or leave them out, and say why.

Related

Frequently asked questions

Is the UN Comtrade implied price the market price?

No. It is an average unit value across every shipment in the code that year. It can be useful as a cross-check but is not a quote.

Why do import and export prices for the same trade differ?

Imports are normally valued CIF and exports FOB, so the import figure includes freight and insurance. Timing, classification and estimation also differ.

What is an HS code?

The Harmonized System, an international customs classification. The first six digits are the same in most countries.

Sources

Specifications published by index providers are revised over time. Where a figure comes from a pricing notice, confirm the version currently in force with the publisher before you use it in a contract. Corrections are welcome.

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